Juve, AC, Roma & Como 

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It’s not been a vintage Serie A campaign by any stretch of the imagination but it’s poised to be a thrilling final matchday. Inter Milan regained the title from Napoli to win their 21st Scudetto with Cristian Chivu’s men easing clear of their rivals in 2026. Perhaps predictably, Antonio Conte will depart Napoli at the end of the season with the Italian terminating his contract after a hugely underwhelming title defence.

Serie A were the only top five league not to have a representative in the semi-finals of the three major European club competitions, but the race to secure qualification for the Champions League next season is compelling. All attention will be on the four clubs vying for two places across the weekend with AC Milan, Roma, Como and Juventus desperate to qualify for the most prestigious club competition in the world with the financial rewards substantial. All four clubs realistically need to win to ensure a top-four place as Serie A prioritises head-to-head records over goal difference and we’ve analysed the four contenders’ prospects.

AC Milan: 70 points, GD +19

AC Milan are in pole position as they hold a two-point advantage over Como and Juventus in fifth and sixth place. They still need a win at home to Cagliari, however, to rubber stamp a Champions League due to the head-to-head rule. Cagliari are safe and have nothing to play for so AC should ease through that fixture but if they drop points then they are at serious risk. If they were to draw, they would drop out of the top four as they have an identical head-to-head record with Juventus – two 0-0 draws – but would be behind on general goal difference. AC Milan’s head-to-head record is superior to Como.

Roma: 70 points, GD +26

Roma are strong favourites to secure a Champions League place as they travel to face already relegated Verona. Anything other than a win would put them in serious danger as Juventus and AC Milan both boast a superior head-to-head record. Moreover, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have an identical record with Como but would finish below them on general goal difference. Therefore, if Roma draw then they would likely miss out as one of Como or Juventus should win.

Como: 68 points, GD: +33

Como have enjoyed a remarkable rise over the last few years after significant investment into the club. After their promotion to Serie A, Cesc Fàbregas took the reins and continued their rise in Italian football. Fabregas has ensured that Como have qualified for European football for the first time in the history but that could still be in the Champions League. They need to beat Cremonese, who are fighting against relegation, and hope one of Roma or AC Milan drop points. Como have a better head-to-head record than Juve, worse than AC Milan and would be ahead of Roma on goal difference, if they finish level on points.

Juventus: 68 points, GD +27

Juventus’ final game of the season is a tricky away clash to Turin rivals Torino. Luciano Spalletti’s men need to win and failing to qualify would be a disaster from a financial perspective. Juve were knocked out of the competition in a thrilling play-off with Galatasaray this season and they’ll be determined to return. If they finish on 71 points by winning and all clubs finish on that points total, they have a better head-to-head record than Roma, would be ahead of AC Milan on goal difference but behind Como.